P/E of A is 10x. P/E of B is 20x. If A acquires B, is it accretive or dilutive?

The deal is dilutive to A's EPS because in an all-stock deal, a lower-P/E buyer (10x) acquiring a higher-P/E target (20x) must issue proportionally more shares than the earnings gained.

Intuition

A's stock is 'cheap' relative to its earnings (low P/E), meaning each share of A represents a lot of earnings power. When A issues its cheap, earnings-rich shares to buy B's expensive, earnings-poor shares, A is trading high-earning currency for low-earning assets. The combined entity's earnings per share must fall because A diluted its concentrated earnings across shares that brought in proportionally less earnings.

Watch

The interviewer may follow up: 'How could A make this accretive?' Answer: by using cash or debt instead of stock, or by realizing synergies. With cash/debt, A avoids issuing expensive (in earnings terms) shares. Also, this entire analysis assumes an all-stock deal always state that assumption explicitly.

Deep Dive

Determine whether A acquiring B in an all-stock deal is accretive or dilutive to A's EPS, given their respective P/E multiples.

Assumption: All-stock deal (the default when only P/E ratios are given and no financing is specified).

Step 1: Translate P/E into earnings yield

CompanyP/EEarnings Yield
A (buyer)10x
B (target)20x

Step 2: Core logic

In an all-stock deal, A issues its own shares (which "cost" it an earnings yield of 10%) to buy B's earnings (which yield only 5%). A is paying a higher price per dollar of earnings than what its own shares generate.

Concretely: every $1 of B's earnings costs A $20 of equity value (B's P/E of 20x). But A's shareholders value each $1 of A's earnings at only $10 (A's P/E of 10x). So A must issue $20 of its stock representing $2 of A's earnings power to buy just $1 of B's earnings.

Step 3: Illustrative proof

  • A: Share price = $10, EPS = $1.00, Shares = 100 Net Income = $100, Market Cap = $1,000
  • B: Share price = $20, EPS = $1.00, Shares = 100 Net Income = $100, Market Cap = $2,000

A pays B's market cap in stock: new shares issued.

A's standalone EPS was $1.00 Pro forma EPS is $0.667 Dilutive (EPS fell by 33%).

Answer: The deal is dilutive to A's EPS.

Shortcut: In an all-stock deal, if the buyer's P/E is lower than the target's P/E, the deal is always dilutive. The buyer is using its "cheap" (low-multiple) currency to purchase "expensive" (high-multiple) earnings. Higher P/E buys lower P/E accretive. Lower P/E buys higher P/E dilutive.