How do you calculate pro forma EPS in an accretion/dilution analysis?
Master the EPS method for M&A accretion analysis. A cheat sheet covering the key formulas, the split-paper framework, and common interview traps.
"In God we trust. All others must bring data." — W. Edwards Deming
Two Methods
Accretion / dilution has two ways in: the Yield Method (compare the target earnings yield to your cost of acquisition) and the EPS Method (build pro forma EPS and check whether it rises). This page is the EPS-method formula sheet. For the Yield Method, when to use each, and the CAPM trap, see Accretion / Dilution Analysis.
Core Relationships
Two formula clusters connected by Shares Outstanding.
Company Level:
Per Share:
The Bridge:
P/E is identical whether calculated from totals or per-share figures. Use this as your sanity check.
Problem Framework
Split your paper. Left: given inputs. Right: solve sequence.
| Given | Solve |
|---|---|
| Revenue (A, B) | 1. Standalone EPS_A |
| EBITDA (A, B) | 2. Deal Adjustments |
| P/E (A, B) | 3. Pro Forma EPS |
| Shares_A, Price (A, B) | |
| Premium, Mix, Tax Rate, Interest Rate |
Step 1: Standalone EPS
Calculate for both companies. EPS_A is your benchmark.
Step 2: Deal Adjustments
Purchase Price:
ΔEarnings:
| Source | Impact |
|---|---|
| Target Earnings | + |
| New Debt Interest | |
| Cash Used | |
| Synergies |
ΔShares:
Step 3: Pro Forma EPS
Accretive if
Common Errors
| Trap | Correction |
|---|---|
| Forgetting tax shield | Interest is after-tax: |
| Wrong share price | New shares use acquirer's price |
| Missing premium | Offer P/E = Trading P/E |
| Pre-tax synergies | Synergies flow through income statement—apply tax |
For the conceptual breakdown of Yield Method vs EPS Method, see Accretion/Dilution Analysis.